LH
LABCORP HOLDINGS INC. (LH)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Solid Q3 with revenue of $3.56B (+8.6% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $4.18 (+19% YoY); modest beats vs SPGI consensus on both revenue and EPS. Diagnostics led margin expansion; BLS benefited from strong Central Labs while Early Development lagged . Revenue est: $3.560B* vs actual $3.563B; EPS est: $4.14* vs actual $4.18.
- 2025 guidance: Enterprise revenue growth range trimmed to 7.4–8.0% (midpoint -40 bps on FX and acquisition timing) but adjusted EPS midpoint raised to $16.33 (from ~$16.28) and FCF midpoint raised by $25M, reflecting operational strength and cash generation .
- Strategic execution: continued hospital/regional lab deals (Empire City, Laboratory Alliance/Crouse Health, CHS outreach), specialty test expansion (oncology, neurology), and AI-enabled operations (Test Finder with AWS; digital pathology/cytology/microbiology) underpin mix tailwinds and efficiency .
- Watch items: early development softness prompting ~$50M revenue divestitures/site consolidation; 2026 PAMA risk expected to be ~$100M headwind to both revenue and EBIT with ~$25M offset initiatives underway (AI/Launchpad efficiencies) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Diagnostics momentum: revenue +8.5% YoY to $2.77B; AOI margin +110 bps to 16.3% on organic demand and Invitae performance; organic volume +3.5% and price/mix +2.8% . “Adjusted operating income and margin increased primarily driven by organic demand, including the strong performance of Invitae” .
- Central Labs strength: BLS revenue +8.3% (constant-currency +5.3%), with Central Labs +10.3%; trailing-12-month book-to-bill 1.09 and backlog $8.58B (+5.4% YoY), supporting forward visibility .
- Cash generation and capital allocation: FCF $280.5M (vs $161.5M LY); $598M cash, $5.58B debt; invested $268.4M in acquisitions/partnerships, paid $59.9M in dividends, repurchased $25M of stock in Q3 .
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What Went Wrong
- Early Development softness: lower-than-anticipated study starts prompted plan to divest or consolidate sites affecting ~$50M annual revenue; actions expected to slightly improve operating income profile .
- FX/acquisition timing trimmed full-year revenue midpoint by ~40 bps, though EPS/FCF midpoints rose, highlighting mixed headline optics despite better profitability .
- Ongoing regulatory uncertainty: management planning for a $100M PAMA headwind to both revenue and profit in 2026; mitigation of ~$25M underway but residual risk remains .
Financial Results
Actual vs SPGI Consensus (Q3 2025):
- Revenue: $3.563B actual vs $3.560B estimate → Beat by ~$3M*
- Adjusted EPS: $4.18 actual vs $4.14 estimate → Beat by ~$0.04*
Segment Performance
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Management also expects full-year enterprise margins to increase, with both segments up vs 2024 .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Labcorp’s third-quarter performance reflects continued momentum in our Diagnostics and Central Laboratory businesses, resulting in strong revenue growth and margin improvement” – Adam Schechter, CEO .
- “Adjusted EPS was $4.18 in the quarter, up 19%… Free cash flow… $281 million… At quarter end, we had $598 million in cash, while total debt was $5.6 billion… leverage… 2.4x gross debt to trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA” – Julia Wang, CFO .
- “We are beginning to divest or restructure through site consolidation, approximately $50 million of annual revenue [in Early Development]… resulting in a more streamlined business and slight improvement to operating income” .
- “Labcorp TestFinder, a generative AI tool developed with Amazon Web Services… allows clinicians to easily search for lab tests using plain language” .
Q&A Highlights
- Guidance mechanics: Revenue midpoint reduction split ~$13M FX and remainder acquisition timing; utilization strength driven by demographics/share gains; organic volume +3.5% .
- Price/mix: Unit price flat; mix/Invitae and tests per session drove +2.8% organic price/mix; Invitae tailwind moderates sequentially in Q4 .
- Early Development actions: ~$50M of low-margin/non-core revenue to be divested/streamlined due to delayed study starts; expected slight OI improvement .
- PAMA 2026: Planning for ~$100M top- and bottom-line impact; ~$25M offset targeted via AI/efficiency beyond Launchpad; legislative timing uncertain .
- Segment margins: Diagnostics +110 bps YoY from organic demand/Invitae; BLS +20 bps; Q4 seasonality to moderate diagnostics margins QoQ; FY margins up for both segments .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 results vs SPGI consensus: Revenue $3,563.5M vs $3,560.3M estimate (beat by ~$3.2M); Adjusted EPS $4.18 vs $4.14 estimate (beat by ~$0.04). Continued mix strength and Invitae accretion drove the EPS outperformance while FX/acquisition timing limited revenue optics .
- Implications: EPS and FCF midpoint raises likely drive modest upward revisions to FY EPS/FCF; 2025 revenue midpoint trimmed on FX/acquisition timing suggests limited top-line estimate changes. 2026 estimate risk from PAMA may pressure medium-term models unless offsets materialize .
- Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Diagnostics growth and mix remain durable, with Invitae now accretive and specialty testing momentum underpinning price/mix; expect continued tailwind into Q4 albeit moderated sequentially .
- BLS outlook is bifurcated: Central Labs strength supports backlog conversion (TTM B2B 1.09), while Early Development is being actively streamlined to improve profitability .
- 2025 quality of earnings improved (EPS/FCF midpoint raised) despite FX/acquisition timing trimming revenue midpoint; management also expects full-year margin expansion across segments .
- Capital deployment remains active (M&A, dividends, buybacks) with leverage ~2.4x, providing flexibility to pursue hospital/regional lab pipelines .
- 2026 PAMA is the principal medium-term risk (~$100M headwind) with ~$25M offsets underway; additional AI/Launchpad efficiencies are key to neutralizing impact .
- Near-term trading setup: small beat/raise on EPS/FCF and visible diagnostics mix tailwinds vs overhangs from FX, Early Dev timing, and PAMA headline risk; watch Q4 margins and BLS bookings trajectory .
Additional relevant press releases during/around Q3:
- Digital pathology partnership with Roche (Sept 30) .
- BioReference oncology/clinical testing assets acquisition completed (Sept 15) .
- Test Finder launch and OnDemand expansions (July 30) .
- Dividend announced Oct 8 ($0.72/share) .
- First FDA-cleared Alzheimer’s blood test nationwide (Aug 18) .
Note: All non-GAAP measures per company definitions; reconciliations provided in the press release and 8-K exhibits .
SPGI Estimates footnote: Values retrieved from S&P Global.*